Ukraine: Possible scenario of open and full-scale offensive of the Russian Federation

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Ukraine: Possible scenario of open and full-scale offensive of the Russian Federation

Сообщение HainanWel.com(e)! » 05 мар 2017, 21:47

The well-known web resource milkavkaz.net published enchanting material "Ukraine: A Possible Scenario of an Open and Full-scale Offensive of the Russian Federation" with arguments about possible methods of countering a large-scale military operation of Russia against Ukraine. Presumably, the author of this work is the Kharkov military columnist Vyacheslav Celuyko.

Obviously not illusions about the ultimate outcome for the Ukrainian side of the scenario under consideration, the author of the text gives characteristic recommendations to the Ukrainian armed forces, calling for the destruction of infrastructure on the territory of Ukraine in order to "increase the costs of occupation" for the Russian side. A frank call is made to organize the destruction of environmentally and technologically dangerous facilities on the territory of the Donbass, which should lead to a large-scale environmental and humanitarian catastrophe and the need to resettle the city of one million people [Donetsk] and populated areas (Yasinovataya, Makeyevka, etc.) These activities will of course fall on the occupying power - the Russian Federation. " Another recommendation for the armed forces of Ukraine during the retreat is the destruction of the Seversky Donets-Donetsk canal. One of the main tasks of the APU is to "inflict maximum damage on the infrastructure of the occupied territory in order to increase the aggressor's costs of occupying this territory and the maintenance of local pro-Russian collaborators."

Other recommendations for the Ukrainian Armed Forces in combating Russian aggression, worthy of the Cadet Bigler, are equally effective and highly realistic.


Map3

"Possible scenario of an open and full-scale offensive of the Russian Federation" (clickable) (c) www.milkavkaz.net

Apparently, Russia's plan to establish control over Ukraine by forcing Ukraine to fulfill the Russian conditions laid down in the Minsk agreement is failing.

Thus, the Kremlin was in a stalemate, Ukraine is slipping out of the hands, as the Trojan entities of the People's Republic of China and the People's Republic of Germany are not able to reintegrate into it. In such circumstances, the DNR and LCN are transformed into a suitcase without a handle, from which there is no use, to control Ukraine from their You can not help, and you will have to spend money on their maintenance further.

Obviously, this situation does not suit Russia, so Vladimir Putin will seek a solution to this problem. In our opinion, one of the most probable options for the actions of the Russian Federation is the worsening of the situation in the Donbass and the use of military force.

As the results of the poll carried out by the Ilk Kucheriv Democratic Initiative Foundation in conjunction with the sociological service of the Razumkov Center show, Ukrainian society is not ready to compromise with Russia for the sake of freezing the conflict in the Donbass.

The most unpleasant were the proposals to hold local elections under the conditions demanded by militants in the Donbas (71% consider such a compromise unacceptable and only 10% is acceptable), and full amnesty to all militants (68% consider this unacceptable and 12% agree to such a compromise) .

There is no public support for the idea of ​​special political and economic relations with territories temporarily controlled by Russia: 60% - against, and 13% - for.

The variants of such agreements as formation of local police, courts and prosecutor's office in ORDLO from local representatives (59% and 13%), the introduction of amendments to the Constitution on granting the Russian language the status of the state language (56% and 24%), (55% and 24%), as well as the adoption of a law on the neutral and non-aligned status of Ukraine (45% called an unacceptable compromise, but 30% would have agreed).

The study was conducted from 16 to 20 December 2016 in all regions of Ukraine except for the Crimea and the occupied territories of Donetsk and Lugansk regions. Sociologists polled 2018 respondents aged 18 years. The theoretical sampling error does not exceed 2.3%. The surveys were carried out within the framework of the MATRA project of the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands.

A similar opinion is shared by a significant part of the political forces in the country.

In addition, the growing campaign of the patriotic part of the Ukrainian society to block the smuggling going to ORDLO and back, greetings to the fact that there will be a collapse of the remnants of industry that still functioned there and brought income to the pro-Russian puppet regime and the local residents who worked at these enterprises. This means that Russia's expenditure on the maintenance of the population of the DNP and the puppet regimes of the People's Republic of China and the People's Republic of France living on this territory will grow.

Obviously, this situation does not suit Russia, so Vladimir Putin will seek a solution to this problem. In our opinion, one of the most probable options for the actions of the Russian Federation is the worsening of the situation in the Donbass and the use of military force.
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