gas market. Disposition for 2016

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gas market. Disposition for 2016

Сообщение HainanWel.com(e)! » 14 июн 2016, 12:59

The total global gas production is 3.53 trillion cubic meters - is 1.9% of the world's proven reserves of natural gas for 2015, ie, at the current rate of consumption and the existing proven reserves of gas will be enough a little more than 50 years. The largest proven gas reserves in Iran (34 trillion cubic meters), Russia (32.2 trillion), Qatar (24.5 trillion), Turkmenistan (17.5 trillion) and the US (10.4 trillion). Over the last 10 years of worldwide gas production increased by 27% (this is an average 2.4% annual growth) over the past 10 years (from 1995 to 2005), an increase of 33% (average 2.9% annual growth), and in the following 10 years, production It may slow down to 1.6-1.7% annual growth.

Slightly more than 1 trillion cubic meters of gas (29%) participated in the foreign trade transactions, ie exported. Of this $ 1 trillion in about a third of exported LNG format, the rest through the pipes. The largest operators in the LNG market - is Qatar (106.5 billion cubic meters), Australia (39.8 billion), Malaysia (34.2), Nigeria (27.5), Indonesia (21.9), Trinidad and Tobacco (17), Algeria (16.4) and only then Russia (14.5 billion).
gas1
The largest operators in the export pipeline: Russia (193 bcm), Norway (109.5), Canada (74.3), the US (49.7), the Netherlands (40.6 billion cubic meters).
Who in the world only 48 countries are gas production (more than 3 billion cubic meters per year), and only 17 countries mined more than 50 billion cubic meters, and a group of leading countries in gas production are: the US, Russia, Iran, Qatar, Canada China, Norway and Saudi Arabia.

Details in the table:
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Among the leading countries in the gas market over the twenty-year period, gas production in Russia and Canada stagnated (located approximately on the same level). The most impressive growth in gas production have provided Qatar (13.4 times increase), China (7.4 times), Iran (5.7), Norway (4.2). These countries for 20 years managed to scout the field and deploy a significant mining, production and transportation infrastructure. In the US, production increased by 50% in 20 years.
gas3
In the late 80s Russia formed 30% of the world gas market, is now almost halved. Russia exports an average of about 35% of the produced gas. Gas production in Russia and the United States has long been about the same level, but in 2011 the United States went into the lead and now mined at 770 billion cubic meters (almost entirely themselves and providing comfort in surplus in 2014), which is 35% ahead of Russia.

With regard to consumption. The largest customers in the table.
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All data from the company BP.

But I would like to draw attention to the contribution of consumption to over 10 years. As world demand growth of almost 695 billion cubic meters for 10 years, of which about 44% or 305 billion came from the US and China (about equal), very active growing gas consuming industries and infrastructure in the Middle East, where the 4 countries (Iran Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE) have provided a 180 billion increase in gas demand, mainly due to industry and electricity. Growth in Japan is caused by the need for thermal power plants running on gas, since in 2011 they were drowned out almost all nuclear reactors (because of the accident at Fukushima).

The growth of gas consumption in Europe, the US and Japan in 2015 are not expected much. In the next 10 years around the world consumption of gas could rise by 18% by 2015 (640 billion), where 80% will be in Asia and mainly China and India, with the development of gas power station. As for China, now it imports about 60 billion cubic meters per year (33.6 billion through the pipes, almost all of which is taken from Turkmenistan). In principle, China could easily issue 300-400 billion increase in natural gas consumption over 10 years, given that the gas consumption had developed extremely poorly relative to other types of energy.

Where it will take them? A separate question, but I would not want to Russia. The reason is simple. It relaxes our figures that a little less than completely forgotten how to work in the 25 years of corruption. Relax so much that they completely abandon the development vysokotehnolochnyh industries, focus on the fierce pillaging of cash flows (in this case, from China). The most effective condition for development in the current conditions for Russia - an aggressive confrontation with the world and the financial famine from external sources which will automatically prompt the authorities to look for other opportunities to balance the system.
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