Responses to tasks Elon Musk

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Responses to tasks Elon Musk

Сообщение HainanWel.com(e)! » 11 июн 2016, 13:03

Problem 2. The three main consumption for Hyperloop.
a. Concrete pillars, on which hang two parallel pipes - $ 2.55 billion.
The number and height of all columns are counted.

b. Ownership of the land - estimated at $ 1 billion.
Here it helps that the base take up little space, the train does not make any noise, and under the pipe can pass, and drive. Used on all the land to the maximum, which is already in the hands of the state (detailed maps in the document http://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/file ... 130812.pdf, the same detailed calculations of each line in the table.)

at. Sami 2 steel pipes - $ 0.65 billion. Each diameter of 4 meters and a length of 600 km. Steel wall thickness - 22 mm, external anti-corrosion and heat-insulating coating.

Still - $ 0.536 mil for unforeseen expenses. These 4 with $ 4.7 billion. Of the rest, and it is $ 1.3 billion, the major three groups - a tunnel through a mountain near SF ($ 0.6 mil), stations and pumps ($ 0.26 mil), solar panels, 600 km x 4 meters and a battery to its full length ($ 0.21 mil). Accelerators, capsules, assembly and all remnants - $ 0.3 mil.

Task 1 From $ 20 for a ticket from Los Angeles to San Francisco?
All the "heavy artillery and stupid" (the pillars of the land, steel tube) designed for 100 years.

This part should pay for itself in the first 20 years. The year will be more than 6,000,000 passengers. and almost all go both ways, that is, $ 20 • 2 • 6,000,000 = $ 240 million. For 20 years, $ 4.8 billion, and there are major expenses.

More precisely, it is necessary, according to the formula ((+ Kapeh OPEKS * years) * 1.marzha) / number of passengers for the entire period, but I think the result will not be very different. Let it be $ 30, if the margin lay. Musk considered for margin 0, as is customary for objects of public importance.

The flow of passengers is likely to exceed 6,000,000 (perhaps much). In addition, it is expected that Giperlup be able to sell electricity to the track, and thus pay all their overhead costs.

If I sprosli vskidku - what is the probability of success Giperlupa - I'd say about 10% over the next 5 years. But it is very much :) English Anecdote about hunting lions here. When the Lady said - And do not you think that it's not very much?
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