Top 10 Reasons the USA war with China - VIDEO PDF Print E-mail
Saturday, 28 June 2014 02:00

Complex geopolitical situation in the international arena every day warms great confrontation between East and West. Professor Naval War College, USA Michael Vlahos sure: the war between the States and the rapidly evolving economic and political sense China is almost inevitable.

Published in the journal The National Interest analytical article is entitled "Historical omen frightening possibility of war between the U.S. and China." It conducts basic Michael Vlahos historical-political comparison: in his opinion, the current state of US-China relations analogous to the situation in 1861, when, because of the diplomatic scene with the capture of the British ambassador on board the Trent during the Civil War in the U.S. States and the United Kingdom were on the brink of military conflict.

November 8, 1861 Union troops ship USS San Jacinto under Captain Charles Wilkes intercepted the British mail ship RMS Trent. In the prisoner were taken two Confederate diplomats - James Mason and John Slidell, who were sent as ambassadors to the UK (while supplies high-tech weaponry Confederate troops) and France to achieve diplomatic recognition of the independence of CSA in Europe. Until the crisis grew, diplomats captured as prisoners of war were placed at Fort Warren in Boston Harbor, and the British government demanded an apology from the United States and the release of prisoners. The U.S. government was seriously considering the British as a military threat. Countries were on the verge of declaring war.

10 reasons why in 1861, despite the fact that the forces on both sides of the Atlantic were ready for the start of the war, it still has not happened, according to Professor Vlachos, surprisingly common with factors that may cause the beginning of a real conflict between America and China today.

1. Propaganda war in the media. Modern military rhetoric pales in comparison with the media situation of the XIX century. In contrast to the complete lack of collective expectations of the war in Britain in 1861, the modern attitude of the Western media does not leave the public no choice - the war is already painted in all colors, and one of its brightest symbols is certainly the National Liberation Army of China and its fleet.

2. Scarcity. Like Britain in the XIX century, weakened by the Crimean War and Indian rebellions in the colonies, the United States, their economy and military resources are now literally shout "never again!" After the military campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq. And if Victorians only occasionally answered naval threat today scale defensive campaign suggest a very impressive business plan from the military establishment in the United States.

3. Economic reasons, according to Professor Vlachos, who did not give Britain in 1861 to wage war (referring to the possibility of losing export of cotton, which was then the lion's share of the budget of the kingdom), in view of today's U.S. economy and globalized world "are not brakes "to start a military conflict.

4. The main image of the enemy. Britons in the XIX century is not needed in force against which it was necessary to fight picturesque in every possible way - neither Russia nor own internal divisions, so similar to those that caused the Civil War in the United States, did not fit the role of an enemy incarnation iconostasis. But modern Americans with the collapse of the Soviet Union lost their main dream - to overcome the most dangerous enemy of the nation and the world, which, with varying success and represented the German militarists and the Nazis and the Communists. Since 1950, neither the Japanese nor the Islamic radicals, or "Russian bear" did not live up to expectations the U.S. really ambitious, large-scale war. China is quite fits all the criteria of the "main villain" and broadcasted on TV bloody series about the enslavement of Chinese Japanese soldiers only fanning the fire under the above-mentioned military propaganda doctrine.

5. Main weapon. If in 1861 the U.S. Navy was already legendary "Monitor", the first battleship, fully forged from iron and equipped with two 11-inch guns of Dahlgren, today naval general of the U.S. is in a restless thoughts about China stamped D-21, or DF-21, a two-stage solid-fuel medium-range ballistic missile, which might literally cut in half the American ships. Transatlantic rather apocalyptic threat of missile accuracy is so real that to avoid it, the U.S. Army Intelligence and will destroy all command of the PLA, intelligence and communication services and even Chinese computers.

6. U.S. today as Victorian England, invest huge amounts of money into large warships, whose vulnerability increases with the advancement of technology. In this case, expresses skepticism Vlachos, that in case of a possible war with China, the United States will be in a winning position. China, whose side now naval supremacy, sharply and quickly gaining military strength, and the ability of Americans to compete with it decreases proportional progression. Here again the media propaganda machine is switched - the public an impression that the Chinese are much greater than the U.S. naval capabilities, and the population begins to support the government's actions to build its own military forces.

7. Weak Civil War America in the XIX century geopolitical took a break, no longer compete economically with the United Kingdom and for the kingdom turned into a profitable area for all sorts of investment. The British also remained at its geopolitical interests - they have remained in Canada, Bermuda, Cuba, Mexico, etc. Today, China, with its maritime ambitions and aggressive military policy of the United States, accusing the Chinese of stealing military secrets and developing military technology at an incredible rate, themselves contribute to fueling beneficial to all armed conflict.

8. After the Civil War in the United States United Kingdom "turned" in the direction of Europe, where the revived Russian-Turkish conflict, rattled the Franco-PRussian War and the Risorgimento (the national liberation movement of the Italian people). USA Today also "turned away" from his 30-year obsession with the Middle East - in the direction of the new, the "main" enemy.

9. Huge Canada was the anchor of prestige of the British Empire until the Second World War. Successful defense poorly protected borders and even Quebec was illusory hope for the British in 1861 - so the main task was then becoming a risk reduction for Canadian provinces. In contrast, Asian countries today - the real angry tigers, ready at any moment to fight. And the real risk to the United States today is not possible to defend against them, and in the American involvement in their geopolitical conflicts.

10. Invasion of Britain in 1861 would cut for President Lincoln cherished them all the way to the reunion. Head of Department of State Seward warned that the British intervention would lead to a world war "between the American and European branches of the British nation." Today's American and Chinese opposition to an even more ambitious and dangerous - in the context of the eternal war between East and West, the complete collapse of globalization, humanity and world order.

At the time, as in 1861, Britain and the U.S. quickly realized that hypothetical war in conditions of crisis then quickly lead to total mutual destruction, today's key elites of America and China need this conflict, each for their own reasons.



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